Research
Research
- SW-TN-2026-002 How Large Is the Possession-Adjustment Effect? A causal reanalysis of the relationship between team dominance and individual centre-back defensive output.
- SW-R-2026-004 Does Possession Adjustment Work at the Player Level? An empirical test of the widely-assumed relationship between team dominance and individual defensive output.
- SW-TN-2026-001 Mechanics Proof-of-Concept: Do Body-Pose Features Improve Shot Outcome Prediction? A proof-of-concept using 200 EPL shooting instances with broadcast-derived 3D body-pose data.
- SW-R-2026-003 The Execution Layer: Mechanics as the Missing Variable in Transfer Prediction The transfer market’s predictive infrastructure operates on a single analytical layer — statistical actions — while the layer that most determines whether those actions replicate in a new environment is structural execution quality: mechanics.
- SW-R-2026-002 Epistemic Certainty in Recruitment: The Gap Between What Football Knows and What It Claims to Know Football’s recruitment infrastructure now produces three distinct layers of confidence — the analyst’s judgment, the model’s probability score, and the market’s price.
- SW-R-2026-001 Contested Aerial Opportunities: The Measurement Gap at the Centre of Football’s Set-Piece Revolution Set pieces now account for one in four Premier League goals.